Archers with more self confidence score higher

17 studies · 670 archers measured

ForContextAgainst19902000201020201986, for, n = 1882026, for, n = 802025, context, n = 652022, for, n = 612018, context, n = 502018, context, n = 502018, against, n = 392018, context, n = 322023, for, n = 322025, context, n = 302023, for, n = 202023, against, n = 202022, context, n = 201991, context, n = 182026, for, n = 152021, for, n = 122021, context, n = 121998, context, n = 82009, context, n = 72023, context, n = 5
Each circle is a study: its position gives the year, its row whether it is for, against or context, its size how many participants it measured. Light circles are studies on other populations or without archers.

Confidence and score: the correlation in each sample, from largest to smallest

Each row is a sample, with the score the study used; to the right of zero, more confidence goes with more points. Rows are ordered by number of archers, from top to bottom. None of the five studies reports an interval around the coefficient, so the dots have no whiskers. Bhutia reports Spearman's rho, the others Pearson's r; Mat Salleh calls the correlation Spearman's in the text and Pearson's in the table. In Landers the correlation is computed on 115 of the 188 archers. In Bhutia the link disappears when men and women are taken separately; in Mat Salleh the comparison between the top ten and the bottom ten of the same twenty archers does not reach significance. None of the five follows the same archer across several competitions. Left out are Wang 2022, which gives correlations between latent constructs and effects in a path model, with a performance index that adds the competition to the technical grade, Yachsie 2021, which gives only a regression, and Dal 2018, the contrary result, which reports no coefficient for confidence on its own. Data from: Landers et al. 1986, Bhutia et al. 2026, Wan Ahmad et al. 2023, Mat Salleh et al. 2023 and Amtajawi et al. 2026.
The numbers in the figure
Study or groupValue (correlation coefficient (r or rho))IntervalnStance
Landers 1986, yearly average0.32115for
Bhutia 2026, national ranking round0.24480for
Wan Ahmad 2023, training at home0.3632for
Mat Salleh 2023, compound at 50 m0.5620for
Amtajawi 2026, training average0.70115for

Confidence goes with the score in nearly every study that puts the two side by side, but always in the same weak form: they are measured together and correlated. The earliest figure, 188 American archers of every level, finds confidence among the very few psychological measures that move with the yearly average, r = 0.32, while anxiety and attentional styles stay put. The firmest figure comes from the Chinese national squad: in 61 archers, sport confidence reported a week before a competition is linked to an index adding up the result of that competition and the technical grade already reached, with a total effect of 0.57. The other coefficients are large but fragile: 0.70 in fifteen archers at a training centre, 0.56 in twenty compound archers, and an 88 per cent of variance explained in twelve high-school archers that, with twelve people and a single predictor, cannot be taken at face value. In eighty Indian juniors measured before a national championship the link is there but weak, 0.24, and it disappears when men and women are taken separately. It breaks in two places. In those same twenty compound archers, moving from the correlation to a comparison between the top ten and the bottom ten makes the difference disappear; and in thirty-nine beginners, reported confidence did not predict the score: a weak null result in a questionable venue, but one that runs against the claim. Nobody has measured confidence before and score afterwards across several competitions of the same archer, and nobody has tried raising it to see whether the points follow: that is why it stays reported.

Also phrased as: "self confidence makes the score"; "archers who believe in themselves shoot better"; "self esteem and score in archery"; "how much does confidence matter in competition"; "confidence before the competition and the result"

In practice

It is taken for granted that an archer who believes a good score is there will shoot it, and that confidence is the first thing to build before a competition.

Evidence

Status history

  1. 1984 Not studied No one in the registry's bibliography has yet set the confidence an archer reports against the score they shoot: there is neither an association nor an attempt to raise it.
  2. 1986 Reported The first large study, 188 American archers from beginner to Olympic medallist with sixty-two measures set against the yearly average score, finds self confidence among the very few psychological measures that move: r = 0.32 on the 115 with complete data, and the four skill levels separate from one another. Anxiety and attentional styles stay put. It is a cross-sectional association collected by questionnaire, so at most reported.
  3. 1991 Reported Nine archers from the Greek national squad come to a competition with more confidence and less somatic anxiety than nine good archers who were not selected, 28.9 against 22.2 on the confidence scale. It points the same way, but the authors report no test between the groups and the comparison is a side result in a study on imagery: the status stays at reported.
  4. 1998 Reported Eight archers from the Italian Olympic squad, interviewed before Atlanta 1996, put positive expectations, with confidence first, among the mental conditions needed to shoot well. It tells us how champions see it, but it sets nothing against a score and does not compare them with weaker archers: the evidence is still the 1986 study, and the status stays reported.
  5. 2018 Contested The year brings three things and the picture opens in two directions. Two papers from the same Malaysian group, on thirty-two and fifty young archers, find the better-shooting group higher on nearly every mental skill, confidence and motivation included, with freedom from worry the only exception; but the score itself goes into the grouping that is then compared, and the differences sit in the plots with no test. A third paper from the same group reanalyses the same fifty archers with another classifier and finds the same pattern: it is the same sample, not a confirmation. On the other side, in thirty-nine Turkish beginners reported confidence does not predict where the arrows land: a weak null result, in a venue with questionable editorial standards, and it does not overturn the picture. Cross-sectional associations on one side and a null result on the other: evidence on archers pointing both ways, weak on both, which is contested.
  6. 2021 Reported A regional cross-sectional study of twelve Indonesian high-school archers attributes about 88 per cent of the variance in the fifty-metre score to self confidence, with F = 73.1. With twelve athletes, a single predictor and confidence collected as a four-level category, that number cannot be taken at face value: it adds an association in the usual direction, and with two supporting studies against the single 2018 null the status returns to reported.
  7. 2022 Reported The firmest figure so far: in sixty-one archers of the Chinese national squad, sport confidence measured beforehand is linked to an index adding up the result of the competition a week later and the technical grade already reached, with a direct effect of 0.44 and a total effect of 0.57, and it turns out to be the route by which reappraising one's own emotions reaches performance. This is the strongest sample and the most concrete outcome, but the design is still cross-sectional: the questionnaires are collected in one go, there is a single competition, and the index also includes the grade reached over the years. The same year, an Indonesian survey on the eve of the provincial games shows how fragile the labels of these instruments are, with both blocks of the confidence score in the merely adequate band and the total in the good band by two points. Reported.
  8. 2023 Reported This is where the claim cracks, and it does so inside one sample. In twenty Malaysian compound archers, confidence before the trial correlates with the fifty-metre score, r = 0.56, but the comparison between the top ten and the bottom ten does not reach significance, 16.4 against 13.6. It is not an independent contrary study, since these are the same twenty archers, so the status does not fall to contested: it stays reported with one more limitation. The same year, in a journal with questionable editorial standards, thirty-two Malaysian juniors training at home during the COVID-19 isolation give a weak correlation in the usual direction, r = 0.36. Added to this, as context from another sport, confidence can be raised by eight weeks of psychological skills training in five junior pistol shooters, although the score was not an outcome of that study.
  9. 2025 Reported Background material only, and the status does not move. Sixty-five high-level Korean archers, asked open questions about what they do to send an arrow into the X, put confidence and a positive mindset first among their answers on preparation, 31 per cent, ahead of losing self-awareness, and after an X they mostly describe positive emotions, 74 per cent, far more than technical reflections. This is what archers say about themselves, not a measure set against a score. In Indonesia, thirty competitive archers come out high on self esteem and only average on self efficacy, two things usually thought of together. Neither paper links confidence to the score.
  10. 2026 Reported In fifteen archers at a provincial training centre, confidence correlates with the average of their training scores at 0.70. The sample is tiny, everything is collected in the same period, and recurve scores at seventy metres sit together with compound scores at fifty. The study that weighs most, eighty junior recurve archers with the qualification round of a national championship as the outcome, finds a weak link, r = 0.244, which disappears when men and women are taken separately, and it is in a journal with questionable editorial standards. Two more associations in the usual direction, none following the same archer across several competitions: reported.

Related

Related articles

Research lines

Studies describe groups of archers, and your own numbers show how far the finding applies to your shooting.

See the full assessment
Cite
APA

Campagna, M. (2026). Archers with more self confidence score higher (Version 3). In Evidence Registry. Retrieved 16 October 2026, from https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/mind/self-confidence-and-score

BibTeX
@misc{campagna2026_fiduciapunteggio,
  author = {Campagna, Matteo},
  title = {Archers with more self confidence score higher},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Evidence Registry, matteocampagna.com},
  url = {https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/mind/self-confidence-and-score},
  note = {Version 3; accessed 2026-10-16}
}

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