https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/competition/big-events-decisive-arrow Changes to this claim in Matteo Campagna's evidence registry: its status, its year-by-year history, revisions of the page. en-gb https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/competition/big-events-decisive-arrowTwo studies of official competition data give opposite answers, and they measure different things. Across 2,210 head-to-head matches decided by a shoot-off at 120 events from 2013 to 2019, the shoot-off arrow is worth 0.9% less at World Cups, World Championships and the Olympics than at continental and national events, which is less than a tenth of a point; the drop, though, belongs to the women (minus 2.3%) and not to the men, and within the same tournament the shoot-off does not get worse in the quarter-finals, semi-finals or final. Across 6,374 recurve sets at three Olympic Games, the 2021 World Championships and a European Grand Prix, the last arrow of the set instead scores higher at the Olympics than at the other two events. A shoot-off is a single arrow shot with the scores level, the last arrow of a set is not, and neither study separates the importance of the event from the strength of the archers who reach it: the field at the Olympics is not the field at a Grand Prix.claim:gare-importanti-freccia-decisiva:revision:2026-09-04:2Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:00:00 GMT https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/competition/big-events-decisive-arrowclaim:gare-importanti-freccia-decisiva:new_claim:2026-07-08:contestatoWed, 08 Jul 2026 08:00:00 GMT